ADB’s India Development Forecast

ADB lowers India growth outlook to 7% for 2017-18

Question: Asian Development Bank has reduced the forecast of India’s GDP growth for the year 2017-18 to 0.4 percent from the earlier declared (April forecast) growth rate. India’s GDP growth is estimated-
(a) 7%
(b) 6%
(c) 8%
(d) 5%
Answer: (a)
Related facts:

  • On September 26, 2017, ADB released its ‘Asian Development Outlook’ 2017 update.
  • In this, the pre-declared estimate of India’s GDP growth rate has been reduced from 7.4 percent to 7 percent.
  • The reason for the decline in GDP growth is the weakness in private consumption, manufacturing output and business investment.
  • At the same time, the growth forecast for the year 2018-19 has been reduced from 7.6 percent to 7.4 percent.
  • According to ADB, launch and implementation of new GST system has reduced consumer expenditure and commercial investment.
  • For the current financial year, the growth of the estimated 7 percent by the bank is less than 7.1 percent of the previous year.
  • The most important fact in terms of India’s growth forecasts is that the growth rate in the first quarter of the current financial year is estimated to be 5.7 percent.
  • This is the minimum growth rate of the last three years in this context.

Reference:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/adb-lowers-india-growth-forecast-for-this-fiscal-next/articleshow/60838073.cms
https://www.adb.org/countries/india/economy
https://www.adb.org/publications/asian-development-outlook-2017-update

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